|
"Risky Business"
A Profile of David Mack
From drag racing, to serving in Viet Nam, to trading – weekend tools
salesman Dave Mack has lived with risk all his life. He tells Larry
Levy about the thrills and spills.
David Mack |
Hearing about the life of David Mack is like
entering an adventure novel. Mack grew up in the conservative US
Midwest in the 1950s. Life was relatively strict however in the Mack
household and the kids were brought up with a sense of honour,
patriotism, service and discipline.
From the time he fixed a broken Jacobsen
gasoline lawnmower his Dad had bought so that they could ‘mow the
lawn easier’ he was a real petrol-head.
‘I was highly competitive and I started drag
racing in the 70s,’ he says. ‘My parents thought I was going to kill
myself – it drove them mad. ‘Once I had a clutch explosion that blew the
car clean in half. I came away with a bump on my ankle.’
|
‘The last time I raced in the 70s, I ran a
quarter of a second under the national record in my class. That same
competitive challenge has driven me throughout my life and has also
extended across into my trading later on.’
In 1968, Mack was drafted into the US Army,
which at that time meant you were probably headed for Vietnam. He
considered himself lucky to be ‘selected’ for communications until a
buddy informed him that Charlie (aka the Viet Cong) always
concentrated their first fire on the field radio operator with a big
comms backpack and huge antenna.
During his tour, Mack had several close calls
with death including a narrow miss with an F4-Phantom fighter jet
and being left to make his own way back to base through enemy
territory. In July 1969, he was named Soldier of the Month.
After returning home to Iowa, Mack started his
own Sunoco gas station, which he sold during the oil crisis in 1973.
He went on to work for tractor giant International Harvester and
started to dabble in real estate on the side, first by buying a
‘fixer-upper’ house in 1976. By the early 1980s, he owned a
portfolio consisting of two hotels and a number of homes.
But then, he recalls, ‘property values took a
huge bath.’ The local economy imploded, Mack lost his job and work
was almost impossible to find. In 1991 he declared bankruptcy and,
in desperation headed south on interstate 35 towards Dallas, Texas,
in search of an opportunity.
Mack landed a job in a Dallas department store
warehouse and lived out of his car for six weeks. He liked Dallas
and prospered there. In 1992, he began selling Sears Craftsman tools
all over the US at weekend motor events. During the week he had
little to do so answered an advertisement and took a basic
commodities trading course under Ken Roberts.
He placed his first trade in October 1993, when
he bought two copper call options for $800. He sold the two call
options for $4300 in January 1994, having made five times his money
on his first trade. He then acquired a BMI realtime quote feed and
for the next few years traded a variety of index and currency
futures using basic indicators. For example, he liked to trade
Japanese yen futures using a three-minute bar chart and a simple
stochastic, often taking 20 to 25 ticks at a clip.
Mack has one piece of basic advice for all
traders, one he has learned the hard way: never trade without a
stop.
In 1998 a salesman called, trying to sell him
Vantage Point software. Initially skeptical, after talking with
several VantagePoint users Mack took the plunge and spent $3,000 to
purchase two market modules. The daily software gives a number of
simple predicted outputs for markets, such as next-day predicted
highs and lows and predicted moving averages, using its neural net
(or pattern-recognition) technology.
Mack claims he started making money in the
first week simply using the Vantage Point predicted highs and lows.
Over time, he acquired the remaining market modules. He looks at a
number of factors governing the relationship between Vantage Point’s
predicted moving average and the real moving average to assess a
turn in market direction, in order to prevent whipsaw trades. He has
also developed a number of bespoke Fibonacci-based counting methods.
Mack has put a life of struggle behind him.
Trading has come along as a competitive challenge and a source of
sustained income. These days he still occasionally heads out across
the USA selling his Sears Craftsman tools at weekends, but has
gradually made the transformation so he makes his real money from
trading out of his home. |