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Major U.S. Economic Indicators
Among the
hundreds of economic reports released by the U.S. government or its
agencies, some have more importance than others, as far as the
trader is concerned. Following is a sampling of some reports that
tend to have the most effect on financial markets, keeping in mind
that this list could change as other reports gain more attention:
Gross Domestic Product
(GDP) –
The sum of all goods and services produced either by domestic or
foreign companies. GDP indicates the pace at which a country's
economy is growing (or shrinking) and is considered the broadest
indicator of economic output and growth.
Industrial Production
– Chain-weighted indicator measuring the change in production of the
nation's factories, mines and utilities. Usually associated with
capacity utilization, a measure of industrial capacity and how many
available resources among factories, utilities and mines are being
used. The manufacturing sector accounts for one-quarter of the U.S.
economy. The capacity utilization rate provides an estimate of how
much factory capacity is in use.
Purchasing Managers Index (PMI)
– The Institute of Supply Management, formerly called the National
Association of Purchasing Managers (NAPM), releases a monthly
composite index of national manufacturing conditions, constructed
from data on new orders, production, supplier delivery times,
backlogs, inventories, prices, employment, export orders and import
orders. It is divided into manufacturing and non-manufacturing
sub-indices.
Producer Price Index (PPI)
– A measure of price changes in the manufacturing sector. PPI
measures average changes in selling prices received by domestic
producers in the manufacturing, mining, agriculture and electric
utility industries for their output. PPI figures most often used for
economic analysis are those for finished goods, intermediate goods
and crude goods.
Consumer Price Index (CPI)
– A measure of the average price level paid by urban consumers (80%
of population) for a fixed basket of goods and services. CPI reports
price changes in more than 200 categories. It also includes various
user fees and taxes directly associated with the prices of specific
goods and services.
Durable Goods Orders
– Measures new orders placed with domestic manufacturers for
immediate and future delivery of factory hard goods. A durable good
is defined as a good that lasts an extended period of time (more
than three years) during which its services are extended.
Non-farm payrolls
– A feature
report released on Friday of the first week of each month that
indicates the number of new jobs generated by the economy during the
previous month and the percentage of workers seeking employment that
remain unemployed.
Employment Cost Index (ECI)
– Payroll employment is a measure of the number of jobs in more than
500 industries in all states and 255 metropolitan areas. The
employment estimates are based on a survey of larger businesses and
counts the number of paid employees working part-time or full-time
in the nation's business and government establishments.
Retail Sales
– A measure of the total receipts of retail stores from samples
representing all sizes and kinds of business in retail trade
throughout the nation. It is the timeliest indicator of broad
consumer spending patterns and is adjusted for normal seasonal
variation, holidays and trading-day differences. Retail sales
include durable and nondurable merchandise sold and services and
excise taxes incidental to the sale of merchandise. Excluded are
sales taxes collected directly from the customer.
Housing Starts
– Measures the number of residential units on which construction is
begun each month. A start in construction is defined as the
beginning of excavation of the foundation for the building and is
comprised primarily of residential housing. Housing is very interest
rate sensitive and is one of the first sectors to react to changes
in interest rates. Significant reaction of start/permits to changing
interest rates signals interest rates are nearing a trough or peak.
To analyze, focus on the percentage change in levels from the
previous month. The report is released around the middle of the
following month. Existing home sales and new home sales are other
significant reports that reflect how the housing market is doing,
one of the most important aspects of the economy.

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Moving Targets
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‘Cash’ Markets
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Economic
Reports
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Major U.S. Economic Indicators
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